Wednesday, March 13 (9 p.m. ET) – In a highly anticipated matchup, California Baptist faces off against Utah Valley at the Orleans Arena. With both teams hovering around .500, this game carries significant implications for both teams’ postseason aspirations.
The Wolverines enter the contest as 5.5-point favorites, backed by their strong performance against the spread (ATS). They have covered the spread in 20 of their last 33 games, boasting a 22% return on investment (ROI). Additionally, Utah Valley has excelled defensively, particularly at home, where they have been under the total in 10 of their last 14 games.
On the offensive end, California Baptist relies heavily on Dominique Daniels Jr., who leads the team in scoring, averaging 19.2 points per game. However, the Lancers have struggled to find consistent scoring support, evident in their low offensive rankings across various categories.
Meanwhile, Utah Valley showcases a more balanced offensive attack, with multiple players contributing to scoring and playmaking. Led by Caleb Stone-Carrawell and Drake Allen, the Wolverines pose a formidable challenge to California Baptist’s defense.
On the betting front, the Lancers have struggled to cover the spread in recent games, with a 9-19 ATS ledger in their last 28 outings. Conversely, Utah Valley has been more reliable against the spread, making them a favorable pick for many bettors.
That said, teams with a bet rating of 2.00 or greater with a positive point margin have covered 53.6% of the time and offered a 2.31% ROI from 2007-2022. For this reason, California Baptist +4 looks like a slight value play tonight.
DerekDSimon.com 