Author: DDS
Residing in Hollywood, Florida, I am a full-time freelance business/sports writer, with published work by Investopedia/Forbes, Motley Fool, CBS Sports, AOL Sports and others.
AI MLB Selections for June 23, 2024
Arizona at Philadelphia (11:35 AM)
Philadelphia (-215) has a clear edge with a Bet Rating of 0.96 and a high win rate of .658, supported by a positive run margin of +1.5. Their starting pitcher, Cristopher Sanchez, boasts an impressive ERA of 2.79, which further strengthens their position. The fair line for Philadelphia is 109, although the value percentage is negative at -57%. Arizona, despite having a slightly lower Bet Rating of 1.05 and a negative win rate of .494, features a starting pitcher, Slade Cecconi, with a higher ERA of 5.36. Given Philadelphia’s strong overall metrics, superior ERA, and favorable home-field advantage, they present a compelling option.
SUGGESTED WAGER: Philadelphia (-215) on the money line.
San Francisco at St. Louis (2:15 PM)
St. Louis (-121) enters this game with a marginally better win rate of .507 and a run margin of -0.4. Starting pitcher Sonny Gray’s ERA is an impressive 2.95, indicating strong pitching performance. San Francisco (+106), on the other hand, has a slightly lower win rate of .468 and a run margin of -0.4. Logan Webb’s ERA is also commendable at 2.99, but the team’s overall metrics are less favorable. Despite playing away, the overall advantage leans slightly towards St. Louis due to their win rate and starting pitcher’s performance.
SUGGESTED WAGER: St. Louis (-121) on the money line.
NY Mets at Chicago Cubs (7:00 PM)
The Chicago Cubs (-112) and NY Mets (-104) are evenly matched with almost identical win rates (.481 for the Cubs and .480 for the Mets). The Cubs have a slight edge in Bet Rating at 1.06 compared to the Mets’ 1.04. The starting pitchers show a bit of disparity: Javier Assad for the Cubs has a stellar ERA of 2.75, while Luis Severino for the Mets has an ERA of 3.84. Given the Cubs’ slight edge in pitching and playing at home, they might have a minor advantage.
SUGGESTED WAGER: Pass, as the game is too close to call.
Washington at Colorado (3:10 PM)
Washington (-125) has a near .500 win rate (.487) and a run margin of -0.1. Their starting pitcher, Jake Irvin, has a solid ERA of 3.24. However, Colorado (+115) struggles with a win rate of .351 and a significant negative run margin of -1.6. Kyle Freeland’s ERA of 13.22 is a major liability. Despite being the away team, Washington’s overall better performance metrics and Irvin’s reliable ERA make them a favorable pick.
SUGGESTED WAGER: Washington (-125) on the money line.
Milwaukee at San Diego (4:10 PM)
Milwaukee (+120) has a superior win rate of .571 and a positive run margin of +0.8. Their starting pitcher, Tyson Myers, has an ERA of 3.33. San Diego (-134), with a win rate of .506 and a run margin of +0.2, has starting pitcher Mike King with an ERA of 3.31. Both teams have comparable Bet Ratings and fair lines, but Milwaukee’s higher win rate and Myers’ performance give them a slight edge.
SUGGESTED WAGER: Milwaukee (+120) on the money line.
Chicago White Sox at Detroit (1:40 PM)
Detroit (-178) has a higher win rate of .461 compared to the White Sox’s .269. The run margin also favors Detroit at -0.2. Starting pitcher Reese Olson has an ERA of 3.39, while Jesse Cannon for the White Sox has an ERA of 3.68. Despite Detroit’s better overall metrics, the high odds make this game less attractive for betting.
SUGGESTED WAGER: Pass due to high odds on Detroit.
Toronto at Cleveland (1:40 PM)
Cleveland (-112) boasts a win rate of .649 and a run margin of +1.4. Triston McKenzie’s ERA is 4.48. Toronto (-102), with a win rate of .461 and a run margin of -0.6, has Yusei Kikuchi pitching with an ERA of 3.65. Cleveland’s superior win rate and positive run margin make them the preferred choice.
SUGGESTED WAGER: Cleveland (-112) on the money line.
Baltimore at Houston (2:10 PM)
Houston (-125) has a win rate of .481 and a run margin of +0.2. Framber Valdez’s ERA is 4.50. Baltimore (+108), with a win rate of .645 and a run margin of +1.6, has a starting pitcher, Albert Suarez, with an ERA of 2.35. Baltimore’s superior win rate and better pitching stats make them a compelling choice despite being the away team.
SUGGESTED WAGER: Baltimore (+108) on the money line.
Kansas City at Texas (2:35 PM)
Kansas City (+135) has a win rate of .538 and a run margin of +0.6. Alec Marsh’s ERA is 4.37. Texas (-146), with a win rate of .474 and a run margin of -0.1, has Max Scherzer, whose ERA is not listed. Despite Texas being the home team, Kansas City’s better metrics and Marsh’s decent ERA give them an edge.
SUGGESTED WAGER: Kansas City (+135) on the money line.
Minnesota at Oakland (4:07 PM)
Minnesota (-177) has a win rate of .545 and a run margin of +0.3. Pablo Lopez’s ERA is high at 5.63. Oakland (+150), with a win rate of .367 and a run margin of -1.2, has Hunter Harris with a stellar ERA of 1.66. Despite Minnesota’s higher win rate, Harris’s superior ERA makes Oakland an interesting pick.
SUGGESTED WAGER: Pass due to high odds and mixed metrics.
Atlanta at NY Yankees (1:35 PM)
The NY Yankees (-105) have a high win rate of .658 and a run margin of +1.4. Nestor Cortes has an ERA of 3.36. Atlanta (-105), with a win rate of .568 and a run margin of +0.6, has Max Fried pitching with an ERA of 3.11. The metrics are closely matched, making this game difficult to call.
SUGGESTED WAGER: Pass due to closely matched metrics.
Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh (1:40 PM)
Pittsburgh (-160) has a win rate of .487 and a run margin of -0.4. Paul Skenes’s ERA is an impressive 2.29. Tampa Bay (+145), with a win rate of .481 and a run margin of -0.8, has Aaron Civale with an ERA of 5.42. Despite being the away team, Pittsburgh’s better pitching gives them an edge.
SUGGESTED WAGER: Pittsburgh (-160) on the money line.
Boston at Cincinnati (1:40 PM)
Cincinnati (-160) has a win rate of .474 and a run margin of +0.2. Nick Lodolo’s ERA is 2.76. Boston (+140), with a win rate of .532 and a run margin of +0.6, has Zach Kelly with a yet-to-be-determined ERA. Boston’s better overall metrics and higher win rate make them a favorable pick.
SUGGESTED WAGER: Boston (+140) on the money line.
Seattle at Miami (1:40 PM)
Seattle (-170) has a win rate of .570 and a run margin of +0.2. Bryce Miller’s ERA is 3.46. Miami (+146), with a win rate of .342 and a run margin of -1.6, has a starting pitcher whose ERA is not listed. Seattle’s superior overall metrics and better pitching performance make them the preferred choice.
SUGGESTED WAGER: Seattle (-170) on the money line.
AI MLB Selections for June 22, 2024
Featured Game:
The Baltimore Orioles take on the Houston Astros at 4:10 PM. Baltimore enters this game with a Bet Rating of 0.93, a robust win rate of .653, and a strong run margin of +1.6. Their ace, Corbin Burnes, who has an impressive ERA of 2.23, will start. The odds on the Orioles are set at -142, with a value percentage of -43%. On the other hand, Houston features a Bet Rating of 1.16, a win rate of .474, and a modest run margin of +0.1.
Baltimore at Houston (4:10 PM)
Though the Astros’ pitching options are thin, Ronel Blanco, their starter, boasts a solid ERA of 2.43. The line on Houston is +130, with a value edge of 62%. Despite being significant underdogs, the Astros are a 4-star play on the money line, indicating a high confidence in their potential to outperform expectations.
Key Statistics and Evaluation
Baltimore Orioles
Bet Rating: 0.93
Win Rate: .653
Run Margin: +1.6
Starting Pitcher (Corbin Burnes): ERA 2.23
Value: -43%
The Orioles have been on a hot streak, winning 10 of their last 14 games and showing exceptional performance on the road with a 12-4 record in their last 16 away games. Burnes, leading the American League in ERA, has consistently delivered strong performances, despite a previous rough outing against the Astros. Baltimore’s high win rate and positive run margin further reinforce the team’s strength.
Houston Astros
Bet Rating: 1.16
Win Rate: .474
Run Margin: +0.1
Starting Pitcher (Ronel Blanco): ERA 2.43
Value: 62%
The Astros have faced significant challenges with their pitching rotation due to injuries. Despite this, Blanco has emerged as a reliable starter, recently flirting with a no-hitter and maintaining an impressive ERA. His recent form has been stellar, with a 0.69 ERA in his last two starts, positioning him as a critical factor in this game. The Astros’ recent home performance has been strong, and their betting value percentage suggests potential undervaluation by bookmakers.
Conclusion and Recommendation
Given Baltimore’s overall strength and Burnes’ consistent performance, they appear to have the upper hand in this matchup. A bet on Houston on the money line is advised for those seeking value and willing to take on some risk.
San Francisco at St. Louis (2:15 PM)
In this matchup, San Francisco features a Bet Rating of 1.07 and a win rate of .474. They have a run margin of -0.4, and their starting pitcher, J. Hicks, boasts an ERA of 2.82. The fair line for San Francisco stands at -104 with a value of 2%. St. Louis, with a win rate of .500, has a Bet Rating of 1.02, a run margin of -0.5, and starting pitcher M. Mikolas has an ERA of 4.59. Their fair line is -110, with a negative value of -14%. Despite San Francisco’s superior pitching, the overall metrics slightly favor St. Louis. Given the lack of strong betting indicators, this game is a pass.
NY Mets at Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM)
The NY Mets have a Bet Rating of 1.04 and a win rate of .486, coupled with a neutral run margin of 0.0. Their starting pitcher, T. Megill, has an ERA of 3.23. The fair line for the Mets is -106, with a value of -8%. The Chicago Cubs, with a win rate of .474, show a Bet Rating of 1.06, a run margin of -0.3, and J. Taillon as the starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.08. The Cubs’ fair line is -105, and their value is -3%. Both teams are fairly matched, but given the metrics and slight edge in pitching, a bet on the Mets is recommended.
Arizona at Philadelphia (4:05 PM)
Arizona presents a Bet Rating of 1.05, a win rate of .500, and a positive run margin of 0.1. Their starting pitcher, T. Henry, has an ERA of 5.40. Arizona’s fair line is 215, with a substantial value of 133%. Philadelphia, with a win rate of .653, has a Bet Rating of 0.96, a positive run margin of 1.3, and starting pitcher Z. Wheeler with an ERA of 2.84. Philadelphia’s fair line is -245 with a negative value of -62%. Despite Philadelphia’s stronger overall metrics, Arizona’s high-value percentage makes this an attractive bet on the run line.
Milwaukee at San Diego (7:15 PM)
Milwaukee comes into this game with a Bet Rating of 0.94 and a win rate of .579. They have a run margin of 0.8, and their starting pitcher, C. Rodriguez, holds an ERA of 6.47. The fair line for Milwaukee is -104, with a value of -13%. San Diego, with a win rate of .500, has a Bet Rating of 1.04, a run margin of 0.2, and R. Vasquez as the starting pitcher with an ERA of 5.69. San Diego’s fair line is -108, with a value of 2%. Given San Diego’s automatic selection and balanced metrics, a bet on the game money line for San Diego is advised.
Washington at Colorado (9:10 PM)
Washington displays a Bet Rating of 0.90, a win rate of .493, and a run margin of -0.1. Their starting pitcher, M. Parker, has an ERA of 3.06. The fair line for Washington is -115, with a negative value of -29%. Colorado, with a win rate of .342, shows a Bet Rating of 1.10, a run margin of -1.6, and C. Quantrill as the starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.43. Colorado’s fair line is 100, with a positive value of 23%. Despite Colorado’s poor win rate, their higher value and fair line make this game a pass due to insufficient strength in indicators.
Chicago White Sox at Detroit (1:10 PM)
Chicago White Sox holds a Bet Rating of 1.62, a win rate of .260, and a negative run margin of -2.1. Their starting pitcher, D. Thorpe, has an ERA of 8.64. The fair line for the White Sox is 136, with a value of 102%. Detroit, with a win rate of .467, has a Bet Rating of 1.09, a run margin of -0.1, and K. Maeda as the starting pitcher with an ERA of 6.02. Detroit’s fair line is -159, with a negative value of -58%. Given the metrics and pitching struggles on both sides, passing on this game is recommended.
Kansas City at Texas (4:05 PM)
Kansas City features a Bet Rating of 0.95, a win rate of .545, and a run margin of 0.7. Their starting pitcher, M. Wacha, has an ERA of 4.24. The fair line for Kansas City is 125, with a value of 8%. Texas, with a win rate of .467, shows a Bet Rating of 1.10, a run margin of -0.2, and J. Gray as the starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.37. Texas’s fair line is -138, with a negative value of -16%. Despite Texas’s better pitching metrics, Kansas City’s overall balanced indicators make them a slight lean on the money line.
Minnesota at Oakland (4:07 PM)
Minnesota enters with a Bet Rating of 1.03, a win rate of .539, and a run margin of 0.2. Their starting pitcher, B. Ober, has an ERA of 4.81. The fair line for Minnesota is -158, with a value of -43%. Oakland, with a win rate of .372, has a Bet Rating of 1.14, a run margin of -1.1, and J. Sears is the starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.25. Oakland’s fair line is 145, with a value of 61%. Despite Oakland’s higher value percentage, Minnesota’s stronger win rate and balanced metrics make them the recommended pick on the money line.
Toronto at Cleveland (4:10 PM)
Toronto has a Bet Rating of 1.12, a win rate of .467, and a run margin of -0.6. Their starting pitcher, J. Berrios, has an ERA of 3.13. The fair line for Toronto is 125, with a value of 52%. Cleveland, with a win rate of .644, shows a Bet Rating of 0.92, a run margin of 1.4, and B. Lively as the starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.02. Cleveland’s fair line is -136, with a negative value of -40%. Given Cleveland’s stronger overall metrics and home-field advantage, a bet on Cleveland on the money line is advised.
Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh (4:10 PM)
Tampa Bay displays a Bet Rating of 1.07, a win rate of .487, and a run margin of -0.8. Their starting pitcher, Z. Eflin, has an ERA of 4.12. The fair line for Tampa Bay is -104, with a value of 1%. Pittsburgh, with a win rate of .480, shows a Bet Rating of 1.02, a run margin of -0.4, and J. Jones is the starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.76. Pittsburgh’s fair line is -105, with a negative value of -10%. Given the balanced metrics, a bet on Tampa Bay is slightly favored due to the slightly better value.
Seattle at Miami (4:10 PM)
Seattle enters with a Bet Rating of 0.97, a win rate of .564, and a run margin of 0.1. Their starting pitcher, L. Gilbert, has an ERA of 2.93. The fair line for Seattle is -170, with a negative value of -56%. Miami, with a win rate of .347, shows a Bet Rating of 1.29, a run margin of -1.5, and S. Anderson as the starting pitcher with an ERA of 31.50. Miami’s fair line is 150, with a value of 100%. Despite Miami’s higher value, Seattle’s stronger overall metrics make them the recommended pick on the money line.
NBA AI Betting Analysis
Saturday, March 23, 2024
Updated Record: 22-8 (updated 3/24/24).
This is still a work in progress, but here is the AI analysis of my pro basketball Database Betting Report:
Brooklyn at New York
Team Stats
Brooklyn: Offense 111.4 PF, Defense 114.0 PA, -2.6 Margin.
New York: Offense 111.9 PF, Defense 108.0 PA, +3.9 Margin.
Bet Ratings
Brooklyn: 1.34
New York: 1.43
- The Knicks show a strong trend towards the UNDER, particularly in scenarios like playing on 1 day’s rest (Under is 21-6) and as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 (Under is 8-1).
- The Nets have seen the OVER hit in 4 of their last 5 when playing on 1 day’s rest.
Betting Summary: The Knicks have a better offensive and defensive balance, as reflected in their positive point differential and higher bet rating. Considering the Knicks’ defensive capability and the Nets’ offensive performance, the UNDER might be attractive, given the Knicks’ tendency to engage in lower-scoring games. The spread is a tighter call, but with New York’s solid performance and the slight edge in bet ratings, leaning towards the Knicks to cover seems reasonable, albeit with caution due to their ATS records.
Sacramento at Orlando
Team Stats
Sacramento: Offense 117.9 PF, Defense 116.5 PA, +1.4 Margin.
Orlando: Offense 110.9 PF, Defense 108.8 PA, +2.1 Margin.
Bet Ratings
Sacramento: 1.50
Orlando: 1.17.
- Orlando demonstrates a strong UNDER trend in several contexts, notably when their opponent allows 100+ points in their previous game (Under is 10-2).
- Sacramento shows a mixed trend, with a slight lean towards the UNDER recently.
Betting Summary: Orlando’s stronger defensive stats and positive margin, combined with a respectable bet rating, suggest they’re positioned well to cover against Sacramento. The total points present a potential for the UNDER, aligning with both teams’ recent trends towards lower-scoring games, despite Sacramento’s high-scoring offense.
Charlotte at Atlanta
Team Stats
Charlotte: Offense 106.6 PF, Defense 116.7 PA, -10.1 Margin.
Atlanta: Offense 119.0 PF, Defense 121.2 PA, -2.2 Margin.
Bet Ratings
Charlotte: 1.23
Atlanta: 1.98
- Atlanta shows a tendency towards the UNDER in their recent games, especially as a favorite.
- Charlotte has strong UNDER trends, especially when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Betting Summary: Atlanta’s high-scoring games and negative point differential contrast sharply with Charlotte’s struggles. The bet rating favors Atlanta, indicating a stronger performance potential. The game could go OVER, considering Atlanta’s offensive output and defensive weaknesses. Atlanta might cover the spread, given the bet rating and Charlotte’s challenges, but their own defensive issues make this a cautious recommendation.
Toronto at Washington
Team Stats
Toronto: Offense 113.2 PF, Defense 118.1 PA, -4.9 Margin.
Washington: Offense 113.8 PF, Defense 123.9 PA, -10.1 Margin.
Bet Ratings
Toronto: 1.34
Washington: 0.89
- Washington’s OVER trend in various scenarios, including as a home favorite, contrasts with their overall season trend towards the UNDER.
- Toronto’s recent games have seen a significant UNDER trend, particularly when playing on no rest.
Betting Summary: Toronto’s slightly better defensive record and margin, combined with a higher bet rating, point towards a potential for them to cover against the struggling Wizards. Given both teams’ defensive issues, leaning towards the OVER could be considered, despite the trends.
Phoenix at San Antonio
Team Stats
Phoenix: Offense 117.1 PF, Defense 114.4 PA, +2.7 Margin.
San Antonio: Offense 112.1 PF, Defense 119.4 PA, -7.3 Margin.
Bet Ratings
Phoenix: 1.83
San Antonio: 0.94
- San Antonio’s UNDER trend in home games is notable, especially against teams allowing 100+ points.
- Phoenix shows a strong UNDER trend in recent games, indicating a defensive emphasis.
Betting Summary: Phoenix’s superior offense and positive margin, along with a stronger bet rating, suggest they are well-placed to cover the spread against San Antonio. The total points lean towards the OVER, given Phoenix’s high-scoring games and San Antonio’s defensive struggles.
Boston at Chicago
Team Stats
Boston: Offense 121.1 PF, Defense 109.4 PA, +11.7 Margin.
Chicago: Offense 112.1 PF, Defense 113.7 PA, -1.6 Margin.
Bet Ratings
Boston: 1.64
Chicago: 1.39
- Chicago has been hitting OVER frequently, notably in their last 5 overall games.
- Boston, despite a generally defensive posture, has seen the OVER hit in recent matchups.
Betting Summary: Boston’s impressive offensive prowess and strong defensive record, alongside a superior point differential and bet rating, position them as favorites to cover against Chicago. The OVER is tempting, considering Boston’s high-scoring nature and their ability to push the pace, despite Chicago’s recent trend towards overs in their games.
Utah at Houston
Team Stats
Utah: Offense 116.8 PF, Defense 120.5 PA, -3.7 Margin.
Houston: Offense 113.8 PF, Defense 112.6 PA, +1.2 Margin.
Bet Ratings
Utah: 1.20
Houston: 1.24
- Houston’s recent games leaning towards the OVER, combined with their offensive capabilities, align with Utah’s mixed trends but recent leans towards higher scoring games.
- The defensive weaknesses of both teams further bolster the potential for an OVER outcome.
Betting Summary: With both teams showing a tendency towards high-scoring games but Houston having a slightly better defensive record, the game could lean towards the OVER. Houston’s slight edge in bet rating and a positive margin suggests they might cover the spread, especially with Utah’s defensive struggles.
Denver at Portland
Team Stats
Denver: Offense 114.7 PF, Defense 110.1 PA, +4.6 Margin.
Portland: Offense 107.8 PF, Defense 115.9 PA, -8.1 Margin.
Bet Ratings
Denver: 1.72
Portland: 1.09
- Portland’s OVER trend in their last several games, especially following a straight-up loss, contrasts with Denver’s mixed trends.
- Denver’s overall UNDER trend, particularly in road games, suggests a defensive focus.
Betting Summary: Denver’s solid offense and decent defensive stats, coupled with a positive point differential and higher bet rating, indicate they could cover the spread against Portland. Given Portland’s poor defensive record and Denver’s capability to score efficiently, the OVER could also be a viable option, aligning with the trends of both teams’ previous games.
RESULTS (updated 3/24/24): 6-2 ATS, 7-1 O/U, 13-3 TOTAL.
Aqueduct AI Selections
March 23, 2024
AQU 1
7.0 furlongs on dirt.
- J D Factor (#1): With morning line odds of 9-5, this 3-year-old colt trained by Richard E. Dutrow is showing impressive speed figures, with both last PSF and overall speed ratings at 92. Despite an LSR of -11, the current form is moderate at 27.1%. The comments note the horse is 0-3 at today’s track and has recently undergone a jockey switch. This contender is listed at fair odds of 8-1.
- Foxhole (#7): Foxhole enters the race with 7-2 morning line odds and is another promising 2-year-old colt, this time from the barn of Todd A. Pletcher, who has a 22% win rate. The son of Constitution boasts great current form of 99.2%, although the speed ratings are slightly lower with an overall speed mark of 83. Carrying an additional pound of weight (+1), Foxhole’s last workout was decent, and his fair odds stand at 9-5, making this horse a very strong competitor.
- Glint (#4): This 2-year-old gelding is trained by Robert J. Ribaudo and comes in with 3-1 odds. With an LSR of -15 and current form at 41.0%, the horse shows potential but may need to improve to beat the top contenders. He has a last PSF and overall speed rating of 86. Glint has fair odds of 12-1.
AQU 2
6.0 furlongs on dirt.
- Clubhouse (#2): As a 4-year-old colt with 8-5 morning line odds, Clubhouse, trained by Gustavo Rodriguez, showcases the highest last PSF at 101 and overall speed of 96. The horse has a high current form of 97.6% and a moderately low LSR of -13. The comments section highlights that the horse is 0-4 at today’s distance and has a record of 2-10 at this track, but has had a good workout. Clubhouse is listed with fair odds of 5-2, reflecting solid chances.
- Debate (#1): A 5-year-old gelding with 7-2 morning line odds, Debate is conditioned by Linda Rice who holds an 18% win rate. He carries an extra two pounds (+2) but posts a 100% current form and has an overall speed rating of 93. Despite a -17 LSR, the horse’s perfect form is notable. With a recent claim and being 0-1 at today’s track, Debate is considered a serious contender at fair odds of 9-5.
- M B’s Munning (#4): The 3-year-old ridgling comes in with 2-1 morning line odds. Trained by Orlando Noda with an 11% win rate, he displays last PSF and overall speed ratings of 93 and 95, respectively, with an LSR of -16. His current form is at 43.1%, and his track record shows 2-6 at today’s distance and 2-9 at the track. M B’s Munning has fair odds of 8-1.
AQU 3
7.0 furlongs on dirt.
- My Girl Jal (#4): With 8-1 morning line odds, this 3-year-old filly shows exceptional speed figures, with a last PSF of 98 and an overall speed of 86. Plus, she has a solid last-race LSR of -7, her current form stands at 100.0%, suggesting she’s in peak condition. Her record at today’s distance isn’t strong (0-4), but she has managed to win two of nine starts at today’s track, combined with a good workout, making her a compelling choice with fair odds of 5-2.
- Meraviglioso (#6): This 5-year-old mare is listed at 3-1 morning line odds. With both last PSF and overall speed at 94, despite carrying an additional four pounds today, she maintains a perfect current form of 100.0%. her track record shows she is 1-3 at today’s distance and 3-14 at the track. Meraviglioso is a solid contender, despite fair odds of 10-1.
- Shelly (#2): A 3-year-old filly with 8-1 odds, trained by Mark Hennig. Shelly carries an additional pound (+1) but boasts a last PSF and overall speed rating of 84 and a current form of 100.0%. The LSR of -9 is decent, and her record is favorable with 1-1 at today’s track. Shelly offers value at fair odds of 5-1.
AQU 4
8.0 furlongs on dirt.
- Goldini (#2): This 6-year-old gelding is one of the favorites with morning line odds of 7-2. Trained by Rudy R. Rodriguez, Goldini comes into the race with the highest last PSF of 100 and an overall speed rating of 98. A slight concern is the last LSR of -11, but with a strong current form of 95.8% and a good workout noted, Goldini appears well-positioned for success with fair odds listed at 7-2.
- Wild Banker (#3): Listed at 12-1 on the morning line, this 6-year-old gelding trained by Richard Metivier shows commendable speed and form figures, with a last PSF of 95 and an overall speed of 88. The last LSR is relatively low at -4, and the horse’s current form is impressive at 94.4%. The comments indicate good late energy and a recent claim, suggesting potential for improvement. Wild Banker is intriguingly priced at fair odds of 3-1.
- Pit Boss (#1A): Sharing entry with Blake B., Pit Boss, trained by John T. Jr. Toscano, comes in with morning line odds of 3-1. His last PSF of 94 and an overall speed of 96 are solid, and with a last LSR of -8 and a perfect current form of 100.0%, he seems ready to compete. Despite a challenging track record (4-27 at today’s distance and 2-15 at the track), his recent claim and fair odds of 5-1 make him a notable contender.
AQU 5
8.0 furlongs on dirt.
- That’s Money (#4): With morning line odds of 5-2, this 2-year-old colt trained by Todd A. Pletcher, who has a 22% win rate, is a strong favorite. Boasting the highest last PSF and overall speed ratings (101), and a solid -5 last LSR, this colt looks like an overlay at his fair of 3-2 or greater.
- Saint Gaudens (#6): At 9-5 in the morning line, this 2-year-old colt trained by Chad C. Brown, who has a solid 21% win rate, is another top contender. With a last PSF of 96 and an overall speed of 89, he has a decent last LSR of -6. Like That’s Money, he also has a perfect current form of 100.0%. He’s had a big win at today’s distance (1-1) and his performance at the track is commendable (1-2). His fair odds are listed at 5-2, and a recent equipment change might suggest an added advantage.
- Liberty Central (#7): Listed with 4-1 morning line odds, this 3-year-old colt is trained by Patrick J. Quick with a 16% win rate. He has an impressive last PSF of 99 and an overall speed of 96, though his last LSR of -12 signals some recent challenges. His current form is moderate at 45.4%. With fair odds of 10-1, his performance at today’s track (1-6) and a recent medication change are concerns.
AQU 6
7.0 furlongs on dirt.
- Caldo Candy (#5): With the highest last PSF of 105 and the same in overall speed, this 3-year-old gelding is a front-runner and is the only horse in the field with a current form of 100.0%. With a good last LSR of -5, his strong form makes him the one to beat, and his morning line odds of 5-1 seem generous. Caldo Candy is 0-1 at today’s distance and 1-4 at today’s track. Given these factors, his fair odds are placed at 2-1, making him the value play.
- Dr. Kraft (#7): This 3-year-old colt trained by Chris Englehart, who has an 18% win rate, shows a last PSF of 95 and an overall speed of 96 with a moderate last LSR of -6. His current form is impressive at 97.6%, indicating he’s in peak condition. Dr. Kraft has not been successful at today’s distance (0-3) but is trying blinkers this time, which could improve his performance. With fair odds of 5-1, he is a strong contender.
- Prince of Truth (#2): With morning line odds of 6-1, this 3-year-old gelding has a solid last PSF of 86 and an overall speed of 85. His current form is at 61.8%, which is decent but not as strong as the top two contenders. He is 1-4 at today’s track, which shows some familiarity and success at the venue. Prince of Truth has fair odds of 9-2, positioning him as a potential challenger.
AQU 7
8.0 furlongs on dirt.
- Lady Mine (#5): With morning line odds of 3-1, this 4-year-old filly trained by Jeremiah C. Englehart, who has a high 27% win rate, shows exceptional form. She has a last PSF of 99, and an impressive overall speed rating (also 99), with a very good last LSR of -3. Noted for having good late energy and a recent medication change, she seems well-prepared for this race. Her fair odds are the shortest at 8-5, marking her as the favorite to win.
- Security Code (#1): This 3-year-old filly has morning line odds of 7-2 and is trained by Philip M. Serpe with an 11% win rate. She boasts a last PSF of 98, and an overall speed rating of 99, although she has a -13 last LSR. Carrying an extra four pounds might be a challenge, but her track record of 3-13 suggests experience at Aqueduct. She has fair odds of 7-2.
- Venti Valentine (#7): With 5-2 morning line odds, this 5-year-old mare trained by Jorge R. Abreu, who has a 14% win rate, is also among the top contenders. She has current form of 97.6%, a last PSF of 97, and an overall speed rating of 95. Despite a last LSR of -13, her form indicates readiness to compete at a high level. Her track experience is moderate with a 2-9 record. Venti Valentine’s fair odds are listed at 6-1.
AQU 8
7.0 furlongs on dirt.
- Silver Satin (#4): With morning line odds of 2-1, this 3-year-old gelding, trained by Jorge R. Abreu who has a 14% win rate, is the standout in terms of speed figures, boasting a last PSF and overall speed rating of 100. With a strong current form of 81.7% and a solid last LSR of -7, Silver Satin is a favorite at the fair odds of 7-5. The horse has raced once at this track without success, which could be a factor in today’s race.
- Schlomo (#6): Priced at 10-1 in the morning line, Schlomo is trained by William I. Mott with a win rate of 17%. As a first-time starter, Schlomo’s workout ratings are impressive, which suggests potential that is not reflected in the past performances. The fair odds of 9-1 indicate this horse could be an interesting bet, particularly for those looking for value.
- Last Drink (#9): Another compelling horse in the race, Last Drink, trained by Wesley A. Ward with a high win rate of 27%, has morning line odds of 8-1. With decent last PSF and overall speed rating of 88, Last Drink could be a dark horse in this competition. But the fair odds of 39-1 don’t entice.
NCAAB AI ANALYSIS
Yesterday’s Results: 9-8 ATS, 13-4 O/U (22-12, 64.7%).
Brown vs. Yale
Date: Sunday, 3/17/2024 at 12:00 PM
Spread: Yale -7.5
Over/Under: 135
Offensive Statistics: Brown scores 71.7 points per game with a shooting percentage of 43.1%, while Yale scores 75.6 points per game with a shooting percentage of 47.2%.
Defensive Statistics: Brown allows 72.2 points per game with opponents shooting 44.8%, while Yale allows 66.8 points per game with opponents shooting 41.5%.
Betting Odds: Brown has a bet rating of 1.12, and Yale has a bet rating of 1.45.
Venue: Neutral
Summary: Brown enters the game with a 13-17 record, while Yale boasts a 21-9 record. Yale demonstrates superior offensive and defensive statistics compared to Brown, with a higher scoring average, shooting percentage, and lower opponent shooting percentage. Recent trends may favor Yale in covering the spread due to their stronger overall performance. Considering the overall statistics and recent trends, Yale is favored to cover the spread and win the game. The over/under may lean towards the over given Yale’s offensive capabilities.
Betting Suggestions: Consider betting on Yale to cover the spread, as they have shown stronger overall performance. The over may also be a favorable bet given Yale’s offensive prowess.
Duquesne vs. VCU (Virginia Commonwealth University)
Date: Sunday, 3/17/2024 at 1:00 PM
Spread: VCU -2
Over/Under: 127
Offensive Statistics: Duquesne scores 71.1 points per game with a shooting percentage of 44.1%, while VCU scores 72.1 points per game with a shooting percentage of 44.6%.
Defensive Statistics: Duquesne allows 66.5 points per game with opponents shooting 42.0%, while VCU allows 67.0 points per game with opponents shooting 40.9%.
Betting Odds: Duquesne has a bet rating of 1.60, and VCU has a bet rating of 1.29.
Venue: Neutral
Summary: Duquesne holds a 23-11 record, while VCU stands at 22-12. Both teams have similar offensive statistics, but Duquesne has a slightly better defensive record compared to VCU, allowing fewer points per game and a lower opponent shooting percentage. Recent trends may slightly favor Duquesne in covering the spread. Considering the overall statistics and recent trends, Duquesne has a chance to cover the spread, but the game could be close. The over/under may lean towards the under due to the defensive capabilities of both teams.
Betting Suggestions: Consider betting on Duquesne to cover the spread, as they have a positive margin and a slightly better defensive record. The under may also be a favorable bet considering the defensive strengths of both teams.
Florida vs. Auburn
Date: Sunday, 3/17/2024 at 1:00 PM
Spread: Auburn -5.5
Over/Under: 155.5
Offensive Statistics: Florida scores 85.7 points per game with a shooting percentage of 45.9%, while Auburn scores 83.2 points per game with a shooting percentage of 47.4%.
Defensive Statistics: Florida allows 78.3 points per game with opponents shooting 43.4%, while Auburn allows 68.1 points per game with opponents shooting 38.5%.
Betting Odds: Florida has a bet rating of 1.73, and Auburn has a bet rating of 1.46.
Venue: Neutral
Summary: After a big come-from-behind victory yesterday, Florida enters the game with a 24-10 record, while Auburn boasts a 26-7 record. Florida demonstrates superior offensive statistics, scoring more points per game with a slightly higher shooting percentage compared to Auburn. However, Auburn has a significantly better defensive record, allowing fewer points per game and a lower opponent shooting percentage. Recent trends may favor Auburn in covering the spread due to their stronger defensive performance. Considering the overall statistics and recent trends, Auburn is favored to cover the spread and win the game. The over/under may lean towards the under given Auburn’s defensive prowess.
Betting Suggestions: Considering Auburn’s defensive capabilities, the under may be a favorable bet.
Temple vs. UAB (University of Alabama at Birmingham)
Date: Sunday, 3/17/2024 at 3:15 PM
Spread: UAB -6.5
Over/Under: 138.5
Offensive Statistics: Temple scores 70.9 points per game with a shooting percentage of 39.5%, while UAB scores 77.6 points per game with a shooting percentage of 45.0%.
Defensive Statistics: Temple allows 72.5 points per game with opponents shooting 43.7%, while UAB allows 75.4 points per game with opponents shooting 44.6%.
Betting Odds: Temple has a bet rating of 1.27, and UAB has a bet rating of 1.33.
Venue: Neutral
Summary: Temple holds a 16-19 record, while UAB stands at 22-11. UAB demonstrates superior offensive statistics, scoring more points per game with a higher shooting percentage compared to Temple. Additionally, UAB has a slightly better defensive record, allowing slightly fewer points per game and a similar opponent shooting percentage compared to Temple. Recent trends may slightly favor UAB in covering the spread. Considering the overall statistics and recent trends, UAB is favored to cover the spread and win the game. The over/under may lean towards the over given UAB’s offensive capabilities.
Betting Suggestions: Consider betting on UAB to cover the spread, as they have superior offensive statistics and recent trends in their favor. The over may also be a favorable bet considering UAB’s offensive prowess.
Wisconsin vs. Illinois
Date: Sunday, 3/17/2024 at 3:30 PM
Spread: Illinois -3
Over/Under: 149
Offensive Statistics: Wisconsin scores 74.7 points per game with a shooting percentage of 46.3%, while Illinois scores 84.2 points per game with a shooting percentage of 47.0%.
Defensive Statistics: Wisconsin allows 69.3 points per game with opponents shooting 45.6%, while Illinois allows 73.4 points per game with opponents shooting 43.1%.
Betting Odds: Wisconsin has a bet rating of 1.61, and Illinois has a bet rating of 1.50.
Venue: Neutral
Summary: Wisconsin enters the game with a 22-12 record, while Illinois boasts a 25-8 record. Illinois demonstrates superior offensive statistics, scoring more points per game with a slightly higher shooting percentage compared to Wisconsin. However, Wisconsin has a slightly better defensive record, allowing fewer points per game and a higher opponent shooting percentage compared to Illinois. Recent trends may slightly favor Wisconsin in covering the spread. Considering the overall statistics and recent trends, Wisconsin has a chance to cover the spread, but the game could be close. The over/under may lean towards the over given Illinois’ offensive capabilities.
Betting Suggestions: Consider betting on Wisconsin to cover the spread, as they have a positive margin and a slightly better defensive record. The over may also be a favorable bet considering Illinois’ offensive prowess.
Today’s Results (updated 3/17/24 at 6:59 PM ET): 2-2 ATS, 4-1 O/U, 6-3 total.
NBA AI ANALYSIS
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Houston Rockets
The Cleveland Cavaliers, with a season record of 42-24, face the Houston Rockets, who stand at 31-35. Cleveland is favored by 4 1/2 points with an Over/Under of 215. The Cavaliers have been performing solidly, with an offensive rating of 113.8 and a defensive rating of 109.4. They have a positive point differential of 4.4 and a Bet Rating of 1.50. Houston, on the other hand, has been struggling with a point differential of 0.6 and a Bet Rating of 1.26.
Cleveland’s recent trends show a 30-35-1 ATS record and a 47.9% field goal percentage. Houston has a 30-36-0 ATS record and a 45.8% field goal percentage. Cleveland has the advantage statistically, both offensively and defensively.
Betting Summary: Considering Cleveland’s stronger statistical performance and being favored by 4 1/2 points, betting on the Cavaliers to cover seems reasonable. The Over/Under is close to the mark, so it might be safer to pass on this aspect of the bet.
Charlotte Hornets vs. Philadelphia 76ers
The struggling Charlotte Hornets (17-50) take on the Philadelphia 76ers (36-30), who are favored by 10 1/2 points. The Over/Under is set at 209. Philadelphia boasts a solid offensive rating of 115.2 and a Bet Rating of 1.41, while Charlotte struggles with a negative point differential and a Bet Rating of 1.21.
Charlotte has been struggling with a 27-38-2 ATS record, while Philadelphia holds a more respectable 34-31-1 ATS record. Philadelphia also has a higher field goal percentage and a stronger defensive game.
Betting Summary: Given Philadelphia’s strong performance and the significant point spread, betting on the 76ers to cover seems favorable. The Over/Under is relatively low, so betting on the Under might be a reasonable option.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Portland Trail Blazers (19-47) face the New Orleans Pelicans (40-26), with New Orleans being heavily favored by 13 points. The Over/Under is set at 214. New Orleans holds a strong offensive rating of 116.0 and a Bet Rating of 1.41, while Portland struggles defensively with a Bet Rating of 1.13.
Portland has been inconsistent with a 30-33-3 ATS record, while New Orleans holds a more favorable 28-37-1 ATS record. New Orleans also has a higher field goal percentage and a stronger three-point shooting game.
Betting Summary: Given New Orleans’ dominance statistically and the hefty point spread, betting on the Pelicans to cover seems reasonable. The Over/Under is close to the mark, so it might be safer to pass on this aspect of the bet.
Brooklyn Nets vs. Indiana Pacers
The Brooklyn Nets (26-40) face the Indiana Pacers (37-31), with the Pacers being favored by 8 1/2 points. The Over/Under is set at 228. Brooklyn has a Bet Rating of 1.34, while Indiana boasts a Bet Rating of 1.39.
Brooklyn has struggled defensively with a negative point differential, while Indiana has shown a more balanced performance. Indiana also holds a better ATS record at 37-31-0 compared to Brooklyn’s 30-34-2.
Betting Summary: Given Indiana’s stronger statistical performance and the point spread, betting on the Pacers to cover seems reasonable. The Over/Under is relatively high, so betting on the Under might be a reasonable option.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies
The Oklahoma City Thunder (46-20) take on the Memphis Grizzlies (23-44), with Oklahoma City being favored by 10 1/2 points. The Over/Under is set at 218 1/2. Oklahoma City holds a strong offensive rating of 120.8 and a Bet Rating of 1.39, while Memphis struggles defensively with a negative point differential and a Bet Rating of 1.27.
Oklahoma City has a strong ATS record at 39-26-1, while Memphis has been less consistent at 31-36-0. Oklahoma City also boasts a higher field goal percentage and a better three-point shooting game.
Betting Summary: Given Oklahoma City’s dominance statistically and the significant point spread, betting on the Thunder to cover seems favorable. The Over/Under is relatively high, so betting on the Under might be a reasonable option.
Washington Wizards vs. Chicago Bulls
The struggling Washington Wizards (11-55) take on the Chicago Bulls (32-35), with the Bulls being heavily favored by 10 points. The Over/Under is set at 225 1/2. Washington struggles both offensively and defensively, while Chicago holds a more balanced performance.
Washington has a dismal ATS record at 31-34-1, while Chicago has a slightly better record at 33-33-0. Chicago also boasts a higher field goal percentage and a stronger three-point shooting game.
Betting Summary: Given Chicago’s stronger statistical performance and the hefty point spread, betting on the Bulls to cover seems reasonable. The Over/Under is relatively high, so betting on the Under might be a reasonable option.
Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers
The Golden State Warriors (34-31) face the Los Angeles Lakers (37-31), with the Lakers being favored by 2 points. The Over/Under is set at 233 1/2. Both teams have shown balanced performances statistically, with the Lakers holding a slight advantage.
Golden State has a Bet Rating of 1.36, while the Lakers hold a higher Bet Rating of 1.59. The Lakers also have a slightly better ATS record at 37-30-1 compared to Golden State’s 32-33-0.
Betting Summary: Given the relatively close matchup and the slight point spread favoring the Lakers, betting on the Warriors to cover seems reasonable.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Utah Jazz
The Minnesota Timberwolves (45-21) take on the Utah Jazz (29-37), with Minnesota being favored by 8 1/2 points. The Over/Under is set at 223. Minnesota holds a strong offensive rating of 113.2 and a Bet Rating of 1.63, while Utah struggles defensively with a negative point differential and a Bet Rating of 1.20.
Minnesota has a strong ATS record at 32-31-3, while Utah has struggled at 36-29-1. Minnesota also boasts a higher field goal percentage and a stronger three-point shooting game.
Betting Summary: Given Minnesota’s dominance statistically and the significant point spread, betting on the Timberwolves to cover seems favorable. The Over/Under is relatively high, so betting on the Under might be a reasonable option.
New York Knicks vs. Sacramento Kings
The New York Knicks (39-27) face the Sacramento Kings (38-27), with the Kings being favored by 3 1/2 points. The Over/Under is set at 218. New York has shown a balanced performance statistically, with a Bet Rating of 1.45, while Sacramento holds a slightly higher Bet Rating of 1.46.
New York has a better ATS record at 24-40-2 compared to Sacramento’s 33-30-2. However, Sacramento boasts a higher field goal percentage and a better free-throw shooting game.
Betting Summary: Given Sacramento’s slightly stronger statistical performance and the modest point spread, betting on the Kings to cover seems reasonable. The Over/Under is relatively low, so betting on the Under might be a reasonable option.
These betting summaries are based on the teams’ recent performance statistics, point differentials, ATS records, and other relevant factors outlined in the provided data. It’s essential to consider the trends and matchups before making any betting decisions.
RECORD: 9-5 (updated 3/17/24).
AI Analysis: California Baptist (15-16) vs. Utah Valley (16-15)
Wednesday, March 13 (9 p.m. ET) – In a highly anticipated matchup, California Baptist faces off against Utah Valley at the Orleans Arena. With both teams hovering around .500, this game carries significant implications for both teams’ postseason aspirations.
The Wolverines enter the contest as 5.5-point favorites, backed by their strong performance against the spread (ATS). They have covered the spread in 20 of their last 33 games, boasting a 22% return on investment (ROI). Additionally, Utah Valley has excelled defensively, particularly at home, where they have been under the total in 10 of their last 14 games.
On the offensive end, California Baptist relies heavily on Dominique Daniels Jr., who leads the team in scoring, averaging 19.2 points per game. However, the Lancers have struggled to find consistent scoring support, evident in their low offensive rankings across various categories.
Meanwhile, Utah Valley showcases a more balanced offensive attack, with multiple players contributing to scoring and playmaking. Led by Caleb Stone-Carrawell and Drake Allen, the Wolverines pose a formidable challenge to California Baptist’s defense.
On the betting front, the Lancers have struggled to cover the spread in recent games, with a 9-19 ATS ledger in their last 28 outings. Conversely, Utah Valley has been more reliable against the spread, making them a favorable pick for many bettors.
That said, teams with a bet rating of 2.00 or greater with a positive point margin have covered 53.6% of the time and offered a 2.31% ROI from 2007-2022. For this reason, California Baptist +4 looks like a slight value play tonight.
AI Analysis of Races from Aqueduct and Gulfstream Park
AQU Race 7
6 furlongs on dirt
Key Contenders:
KUPP (6-1): Trained by Wayne Potts, Kupp stands out as a top contender with favorable odds. This 4-year-old gelding boasts impressive late energy, evident from his high overall speed rating and consistent workouts. Despite a recent jockey switch, Kupp’s strong form at today’s distance and track positions him as a formidable threat for victory.
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND (6-1): Under the guidance of trainer Rudy R. Rodriguez, Daufuskie Island offers potential value with his commendable current form and solid overall speed rating. Despite past challenges at Aqueduct, this 4-year-old gelding’s recent good workout suggests readiness for a competitive performance.
WHAT’S UP BRO (9-5): Trained by Adam Rice, What’s Up Bro enters the race as the favorite, backed by remarkable attributes and a high win rate. A recent claim and jockey switch indicating confidence, this 3-year-old gelding demonstrates class and potential dominance. Strong form at today’s distance and track further solidifies his position as a leading contender.
Summary: Kupp, with a favorable morning line of 6-1, boasts strong overall speed and current form, making him a solid contender despite a recent jockey switch. Daufuskie Island also shows promise with good workouts and a respectable overall speed. What’s Up Bro, with the lowest morning line odds of 9-5, demonstrates consistent form and a high win rate. While the field offers some intriguing options, Kupp emerges as a standout pick given his combination of speed, form, and enticing odds.
GP Race 9
1 1/8 miles on all-weather
1 – PARAMOUNT PRINCE (8-5): Trained by Mark Casse, Paramount Prince takes a significant purse drop but presents mediocre speed ratings and limited current form. While he has one win at today’s distance, his recent performances on all-weather surfaces might not translate well here. Fair odds are 7-1.
2 – CYBER NINJA (10-1): Trained by William Mott, Cyber Ninja showcases solid speed ratings and a fair current form. With no prior success at today’s distance and track, Cyber Ninja might struggle in this field. Fair odds are 9-1.
3 – SPEIGHT’SPERCOMETE (20-1): Offers modest speed ratings and a fair current form. Despite a recent claim and some success at today’s track, his overall record suggests he’s a longshot in this race. Fair odds are 31-1.
4 – SIGRUN FAST BOY (15-1): Presents solid speed ratings and a fair current form. With decent workouts and some success at today’s track, he could contend for a minor award. Fair odds are 34-1.
5 – AGED TRUTH (20-1): Trained by Caio Caramori, Aged Truth enters the race with impressive speed ratings and a stellar current form, coming off a big win. However, with limited race experience, how he’ll perform against tougher competition is uncertain. Fair odds are 22-1.
6 – SIR FOR SURE (5-1): Boasts impressive speed ratings and a strong current form, particularly showcasing excellent late energy. With success at today’s distance and track, Sir For Sure is a top contender. Fair odds are 4-1.
7 – ROTTERDAM (8-1): Trained by Ralph E. Nicks, Rotterdam has solid speed ratings and a fair current form, with success at today’s track. While he has shown improvement, he might need more to challenge for the win here. Fair odds are 11-1.
8 – JEOPARDY THEORY (9-2): Trained by Joseph Orseno, Jeopardy Theory offers decent speed ratings and a fair current form. Despite no prior success at today’s track, he could contend for a minor award based on recent performances. Fair odds are 16-1.
9 – PATOU ROAD (4-1): Trained by the great Chad Brown, Patou Road showcases impressive speed ratings and a strong current form. Despite limited success at today’s distance and track, his recent jockey switch and decent last workout suggest he could be a top contender. Fair odds are 2-1.
Summary: Sir For Sure and Patou Road emerge as the top contenders in this race, boasting impressive speed ratings and strong current forms. Aged Truth could be a wildcard with his recent big win, while Paramount Prince might struggle with a significant purse drop. Overall, Sir For Sure and Patou Road hold favoritism, with Aged Truth a potential upsetter if he handles the step up in class.
RESULTS
(Updated 3/11/24)
Introducing AI-Generated Handicapping Analysis
I’ve started using AI technology to analyze the betting reports I produce, marking a revolutionary approach to wagering on sports.
This AI-generated handicapping analysis provides users with unparalleled accuracy and depth, empowering them to confidently make informed betting decisions.
One of the most notable features of this AI-generated handicapping analysis is its ability to adapt and evolve. As new data becomes available and the algorithm continues to learn and refine its predictions, users can expect increasingly accurate and nuanced insights into race and sports outcomes.
Below are today’s top contenders from Aqueduct (data provided from my Race Regression Report):
AQUEDUCT
March 9, 2024
RACE 1: Roman Grace has been well-prepared for her debut. Looks First and Autumn Evening also present strong cases, especially considering their current form and trainer stats. While favorites like Catching Heat and I’m Thinking shouldn’t be dismissed, they look like underlays. Overall, a competitive race awaits, with potential for surprises and expected outcomes.
RACE 2: Pit Boss emerges as a standout frontrunner; however, his 1-for-14 record at today’s record doesn’t inspire confidence. Swift Tap also presents a formidable challenge, wheeling back quickly for trainer Michelle Nevin. Longshots such as Mount Travers and Forever Wicked may surprise, especially considering their recent form and track history. Overall, a competitive field promises an exciting race with potential for surprises.
RACE 3: Friday I’m In Love seems to be the most likely winner, with outstanding performance metrics and exceptional current form. Waflr has a pace advantage. Charming Jim, Qorokwe, and Frankie R. shouldn’t be dismissed outright, though they face tougher challenges.
RACE 4: Magic Express shines as a frontrunner shipping from Parx Racing. Midway Lights was a $450,000 purchase at auction for trainer Richard Dutrow. Majestic Michael also makes an intriguing case, while longshots like Party With Smarty and Cage Match shouldn’t be dismissed.
RACE 5: Mandatory appears to be a deserving favorite, boasting a superior last-race speed figure, although Blue Plate Special might offer the most value, with 2-1 fair odds.
RACE 6: Fortune’s Nephew looks like a strong favorite, boasting impressive performance metrics and recent form. Blinkers on and a recent good workout add to the positive outlook. Paschal Moon and Kentucky Joker present value with their exceptional current form and enticing odds.
RACE 7: Expected Value and Mistical Curlin appear to be the ones to beat. Certified Loverboy and Shipsational have value at the right odds.
RACE 8: Hot Fudge stands out, boasting exceptional performance metrics and great current form. Quick Munny and Kant Hurry Love also look strong.
RACE 9: In this competitive race, contenders like Cuando and True Connection emerge as top contenders with solid performance metrics and promising current form, while longshots such as Glint and Mitole’s Diamond face steep odds due to their lack of experience and uncertain prospects.
RESULTS
(Updated 3/11/24)
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